Scottish Tourism Index

53 Degree Insight have published their March survey findings confirming much of what we had understood to the current outlook for our tourism industry; not the mad rush to book or the huge pent up demand that we’ve seen reported by some media.

Whilst there is room for some optimism, the latest Scottish Tourism Index demonstrates that there are a number of challenges ahead to ensure home-base holidays (staycations) can provide the tourism industry with the much needed boost it needs in 2021

Some highlights from the research here:

  • Over a fifth of Scots are simply not thinking about holidays yet (22%) and 27% feel that holidays are something they won’t be planning for some time. These groups remained concerned about risks of transmission and would like to wait until the vaccine rollout and declining cases reach a level where they feel completely safe.
  • However, the remaining half of the population are more positive about taking a holiday this year – indeed 1 in 8 (12%) are desperate for a holiday and will take one as soon as they can. Members of this group feel they need to travel, to escape from the difficulties of the last 12 months.
  • Almost half (46%) of Scots are very likely or definite about taking a home holiday this year – and a further 24% are fairly likely – 7 in 10 Scots overall. This compares with around two in five likely to go elsewhere in the UK (42%), three in ten into Europe (29%) and 11% further afield
  • However the uncertainty of what will be possible this year means that only a small proportion of Scots have already booked a 2021 staycation (5%) while a larger percentage (32%) are just at the planning or consideration stages.
  • When asked to rate the importance of a different factors if they were to take a Scottish staycation high standards of hygiene and cleanliness were rated most highly. Mitigations to aid social distancing remain important but notably less so than in the summer of 2020. More important in 2021 were reassurances that there would be a range of places open to visit and where it would be possible to eat and drink.
  • While 17% of Scottish staycations are expected to be taken before the end of June, a larger percentage (51%) are expected to take place between July and the end of September, and 14% in the last quarter. Reflecting the uncertainty amongst consumers, 18% of those planning a trip are unsure of when.
  • As in 2020, rural locations continue to hold greatest appeal with the Highlands leading the way, followed by Argyll, Edinburgh & Lothians, Aberdeenshire, Ayrshire & Arran and Perthshire.
  • Also reflecting demand in 2020, self-catering accommodation continues to be the most popular for holidays planned for 2021 with 47% intending to stay in this type of accommodation. Small hotels are likely to be used by 44%, guesthouses/B&Bs by 33% and large hotels by 30% – and all other types of accommodation by less than 15% in each case.
  • Underlying these percentages there are shifts in accommodation preferences compared with pre-COVID. Self-catering in particular now has much greater appeal (+25% swing) as do campervans (+11%).
  • In terms of activities undertaken on holidays, 33% of Scots are more likely to consider visiting the natural outdoors on a Scottish holiday post-COVID-19, and a similar percentage are more likely to seek rest and relaxation. More active pursuits such as walking and cycling are also more popular with +26% appeal. In contrast indoor activities such as visits to arts and cultural venues and shopping for gifts and souvenirs will still have reduced appeal.
  • Considering Scottish community attitudes to the re-opening of tourism, although a degree of reticence remains (23% would at most only want small numbers of visitors), compared to 2020 there is a more relaxed attitude towards visitors generally with almost half (48%) pf the population feeling comfortable and ready to welcome visitors.

You can read in full here.

First Minister’s Statement 30th March 2021

During her COVID-19 media briefing, the First Minister covered the following (30/03/21):

  • The FM confirmed that a further 411 cases of COVID-19 had been reported in the previous 24 hours, taking the total number of cases to 210,890. She also noted that 250 people were in hospital, with 23 individuals receiving intensive care. Further, she confirmed that 12 additional deaths had been recorded, taking the total to 7,596. On vaccinations, the FM observed that 2,436,398 people had received the first dose of the vaccine and 338,443 had been given a second dose.
  • The FM noted that despite a significant drop in deaths, there was no room for complacency and that Scotland must remain “hyper vigilant” in the fight against COVID-19.
  • The FM confirmed that the ‘stay at home’ rule was to be lifted from 2 April and would be replaced with advice to ‘stay local’ due to positive vaccination results. She also confirmed that click and collect services, hairdressers, and barbers would be able to resume business from Monday. This, the FM said, would also include campus learning for some students, specifically engineering, beauty, and hairdressing.
  • The First Minister also pointed to upcoming reduced restrictions from 26 April, specifically highlighting the hospitality sector. She noted that all level four areas were expected to move to level three and that all secondary school pupils were expected to return after the Easter Holidays. She added that a full reopening of retail services, a partial reopening of hospitality, and an easing of outdoor gathering restrictions was also expected from this date.
  • The FM closed the briefing in the usual way by reiterating the rules in place and urging Scots to abide by them.
  • During the following questions, Central FM asked if people would continue to face fines for travelling outside their council areas. The FM noted that this would still be the case. The Daily Record raised the subject of international travel in the context of Chile’s increased infection rates. The Chief Medical Officer and National Clinical Director noted that Chile’s experience backed up the Scottish Government’s cautious approach to leaving lockdown. The Daily Mail asked if the current trends could indicate a further reduction in travel restrictions. The FM noted that her approach was guided by the data but that she was hopeful for further progress.

The First Minister confirmed the current Stay at Home rule will be lifted from Friday (2 April) and replaced by a requirement to Stay Local. This means that the current travel restrictions will remain in place for another 3 weeks.

The First Minister hoped further plans for easing restrictions would be confirmed at a media briefing in three weeks’ time. This would include mainland Scotland moving from level 4 to level 3 on 26 April, travel restrictions within the mainland ending, a full reopening of retail premises and a partial reopening of the hospitality sector. It is also hoped it will be possible to ease some of the rules on outdoor meetings from the same date.

The Scottish Government will shortly publish updated levels tables online. They will provide some more information about prospective changes during April, May and into the summer.

Read the Statement.

The NHS Inform coronavirus webpage is the fastest way for people to get the latest health advice and information.

Skye’s Tourism Businesses Need a Minimum Season of 20 Weeks if they are to Survive

The results of a SkyeConnect survey of business confidence, following the announcement of plans to re-open the economy, reveal another lockdown could decimate the industry.

Over one hundred businesses from the hotel, self-catering, B&B, campsite, restaurant, arts and crafts, visitor attraction and outdoor activity sectors, took part in the survey with almost 70% saying they need a minimum of a twenty-week season to survive.

The survey also reveals that even with a good summer season, some sectors such as hotels, restaurants, outdoor activities and visitor attractions will need the Furlough Scheme extended through the winter if they are to avoid letting some staff go.

However, there does appear to be a degree of confidence that sufficient holidaymakers will visit Skye this year. 56% of respondents said they were confident of being able to generate sufficient income to justify re-opening.

The survey asked businesses about their reopening plans. The vast majority are planning to reopen in May, although many self-catering businesses are set to reopen in April.

The survey also revealed an eagerness to extend the traditional summer season into late autumn and even through the winter. The majority of businesses responding to the survey said they were either intending to stay open through the winter or considering the option of remaining open.

Chair of SkyeConnect, Dave Till, says the survey shows the tourism industry cannot afford any further interruptions to trading.

“Now that we have a clear roadmap to re-opening, businesses are starting to recruit staff and invest in being able to offer a Covid-safe environment for visitors. We sincerely hope there will be no more lockdowns. Our industry needs at least five months of good trading conditions, just to survive. Beyond that, it is clear that Government support will still be required through the winter months, otherwise we are likely to see a rise in unemployment. SkyeConnect will use the data from this survey to lobby the Government after the election to ensure our fragile island economy and its hundreds of small, family-run businesses get the support they need as we all navigate our way along the long road of recovery out of the Covid-19 pandemic.”